The primary purpose of
my paper is to decide whether or not weather forecasts are actually as
inaccurate as many people claim. In
order to help me present arguments effectively, I will need to bring in outside
support. At my “dinner table,” I will
need to include statistics and opinions from various different sources. One of the primary sources of information
will be from meteorologists. Meteorologists
will be very important sources of information since they deal with the
complaints regarding “wrong” forecasts day in and day out. If at all possible, I will ask a local meteorologist
and professor (Robin Reed) about the specific details of these threats and
complaints which he received. Aside from
possible input from Robin Reed, I also plan on using information which is
published online by meteorologists. For
example, outspoken meteorologist Brad Panovich (of North Carolina) has posted a
blog related to this hot topic.
For information
not related directly to meteorology, I may need to bring in sources in the
field of psychology. This way, I will be
able to get information related closer to the perception side of the
argument. Hopefully, I will learn more
about how people perceive weather forecasts.
Even though I hope to find some of this information through the
psychology side, I also believe that I will learn about perception from the
complaints that meteorologists receive.
In addition to
people’s perception and the meteorologists’ personal feelings related to this
topic, actual statistics will also need to be introduced to the reader. This way, the reader will not feel like he or
she is being forced to believe anything in particular. That being said, the data and statistics will
still hopefully help me to come to a clear conclusion. Some of this data may come from
meteorologists who analyze this type of information or weather services (such
as the National Weather Service or The Weather Channel). Even still, some of the data may come from
areas outside of the meteorology field, which may be better since there would
be little to no question of bias.
I firmly
believe that the combination of meteorologists, outside data, and psychology
related works will lead to a firm argument and presentation which will help
better educate the reader.
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